Mariete Forecast Specialist
Foundation taught you to build a pipeline, read a confidence band and promote it to a schedule. Specialist is what changes when the forecast moves from a chart in a dashboard to a number the board plans on, the inventory team commits cash to, and the CFO defends to investors. This course covers driver-based modelling that survives a regime shift, anomaly detection that catches the right kind of weird, scenario composition with Cascade, the discipline of variance commentary that doesn't lie, and the calibration practice that tells you when to refuse a forecast entirely. Builder-to-builder, technically precise, occasionally sharp.
What you'll be able to do.
- Driver-based modelling
- Anomaly detection
- Scenario composition with Cascade
- Forecast review and variance commentary
- Calibration and humility
5 modules. ~90 minutes total.
- 01Driver-based modelling~18 min
Foundation showed you covariates as exogenous signals you add to a pipeline one at a time. Specialist is where you shift from "what covariat…
- 02Anomaly detection~18 min
Foundation introduced the anomaly node as a thing that fires when actuals breach the confidence band. Specialist is where you learn what kin…
- 03Scenario composition with Cascade~18 min
Forecast tells you what's likely. Cascade maps what happens after a decision. Specialist-tier work pairs them: Forecast produces the demand…
- 04Forecast review and variance commentary~18 min
A Foundation-tier forecast lands as a chart in a dashboard. A Specialist-tier forecast lands as a board-ready narrative: a number, a band, a…
- 05Calibration and humility~18 min
The most important discipline in production forecasting is knowing when not to forecast. A forecast confidently produced for a series the mo…
One sample question. Click to reveal the answer.
A driver-based model that is set up once and not reviewed quarterly will degrade silently — the operator typically discovers the degradation when a board meeting reveals the gap.
- True
- False
20 questions like this. Forecast Specialist pass-mark is 75%.