Mariete Cascade Specialist
Foundation taught you to brief a tree and read it. Specialist is about owning consequence-mapping at the level where it actually changes decisions: you run cascades that survive a board, a regulator, or a hostile counter-party. You design n-th order chains with explicit feedback loops. You customise reasoners with domain priors instead of accepting the defaults. You rehearse crises before they happen. You check counterfactual integrity instead of assuming the diff is honest. And you communicate consequence to audiences who need clarity without losing the uncertainty that made the analysis useful in the first place. This course is harder than Foundation. The pass threshold is the same; the questions are not.
What you'll be able to do.
- Order-of-effects depth
- Custom reasoners
- Crisis rehearsal
- Counterfactual analysis
- Communicating consequence
5 modules. ~90 minutes total.
- 01Order-of-effects depth~18 min
Foundation said: three orders is the sweet spot. That's still true for most operational cascades. Specialist work is the small set of decisi…
- 02Custom reasoners~18 min
The six default lenses — economist, sociologist, technologist, political analyst, lawyer, environmental scientist — are general-purpose. The…
- 03Crisis rehearsal~18 min
Most cascades are run on decisions the team is about to make. Crisis rehearsal is different: you run cascades on decisions the team might ha…
- 04Counterfactual analysis~18 min
Cascade trees are inherently counterfactual: every node is a claim about what would happen if a decision were made or an event occurred. Fou…
- 05Communicating consequence~18 min
A cascade tree is an artefact. A decision is an outcome. The work between artefact and outcome — translating the tree into something an audi…
One sample question. Click to reveal the answer.
The course recommends a specific structure for a Specialist-grade leadership memo. Which element does it say should appear first?
- Methodological detail on how the cascade was run
- A complete log of every node in the tree
- The decision being weighed (restated in one sentence) and the recommendation, stated up-front
- The pointer to the full tree
20 questions like this. Cascade Specialist pass-mark is 75%.